http://ew-econ.typepad.fr/articleAEAsurvey.pdf
The relevant table:
Table 1:
Impact of Greenhouse Gases
In comparison to a world in which greenhouse gas levels were stable, rising levels of greenhouse gases by the end of the twenty-first century will cause GDP per capita in the U.S. to be:
a. more than 10 percent lower. 12.5%
b. about 5 to 10 percent lower. 7.1
c. about 1 to 5 percent lower. 21.4
d. less than 1 percent lower or higher. 35.7
e. about 1 to 5 percent higher. 16.1
f. more than 5 percent higher. 7.1
So a substantial majority think the effect will be either tiny or positive.
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